任宏利,郑飞,罗京佳,王润,刘明竑,张文君,周天军,周广庆. 2020. 中国热带海-气相互作用与ENSO动力学及预测研究进展[J]. 气象学报, 78(3):351-369, doi:10.11676/qxxb2020.023 |
中国热带海-气相互作用与ENSO动力学及预测研究进展 |
A review of research on tropical air-sea interaction, ENSO dynamics, and ENSO prediction in China |
投稿时间:2019-09-11 修订日期:2019-12-08 |
DOI:10.11676/qxxb2020.023 |
中文关键词: 热带海-气相互作用 ENSO 动力学 预测 |
英文关键词:Tropical air-sea interaction El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO) Dynamics Prediction |
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(41975094、41275073)、国家重点研发计划重点专项项目(2018YFC1506000) |
|
摘要点击次数: 1384 |
全文下载次数: 831 |
中文摘要: |
国际上针对海洋-大气系统的观测、理论和模拟方面已经开展了广泛而深入的研究,为短期气候预测水平的不断提升奠定了坚实基础,这其中中国学者做出了许多重要贡献。文中简要回顾了中国学者70年来在热带海-气相互作用与ENSO动力学及预测方面的研究进展。其中,热带海-气相互作用部分主要涉及4个方面的内容:热带太平洋气候特征与ENSO现象、热带印度洋海温主要模态及其与太平洋相互作用、热带大西洋海温主要模态及与海盆的相互作用、中高纬度海-气系统对ENSO的影响;ENSO动力学包括7个方面的内容:基本理论的相关研究、ENSO相关的诊断与模拟研究、两类ENSO相关研究、ENSO触发机制相关研究、ENSO与其他现象的相互作用、外部强迫与大气遥相关、气候变化与ENSO响应;ENSO预测主要包括2个方面的内容:动力-统计ENSO预测方法、ENSO预测系统与应用。最后,还讨论了上述相关方面亟待解决的问题。 |
英文摘要: |
Remarkable progress has been made in observations, theoretical studies and numerical simulations of the ocean-atmosphere system, laying a solid foundation for the improvement of short-term climate predictions. Chinese scholars have made important contributions to the progress mentioned above. This paper reviews research in China on tropical air-sea interaction and ENSO dynamics and prediction in the past 70 years. The tropical air-sea interaction studies mainly focus on four aspects: the characteristics of the tropical Pacific climate system and ENSO phenomena; the major modes of the tropical Indian Ocean SSTs and their interactions with the tropical Pacific; the major modes of the tropical Atlantic SSTs and inter-basin interactions; the influence of the mid- and high-latitude air-sea system on ENSO. The ENSO dynamics studies involve seven aspects: fundamental theories of ENSO; the diagnosis and simulation of ENSO; the two types of ENSO; the mechanisms for ENSO initiation; the interactions between ENSO and other phenomena; external forcing and teleconnections; climate change and ENSO responses. The ENSO prediction studies mainly address the dynamical-statistical methods of ENSO prediction, and ENSO prediction systems as well as their applications. Finally, some of the issues in these areas that still need further studies were discussed. |
HTML 查看全文
查看/发表评论 下载PDF阅读器 |